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New seat projections for the next European Parliament

18/04/2019
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Parliament released today its final set of seat projections, based on a cross-section of national polls, on the composition of the next (9th) European Parliament.

 

The European Parliament has published a new set of projections on how the next chamber might look, based on polling data published in the EU member states until 15 April 2019. The data is based on a collection of reliable polls conducted by national polling institutes in the member states and aggregated by Kantar Public on behalf of Parliament.

The present seat projection provides data for a Parliament of 28 member states and 751 seats, which include 73 seats for British MEPs. The results of the last projections published on 29 March have been recalculated based on a chamber of 751 MEPs - and not 705 as presented previously - to include the United Kingdom in the seats’ distribution.

Parties are only allocated to existing political groups or where they are already affiliated to an associated European political party. All new political parties and movements that have not yet declared their intentions are categorised as “other”.

Country by country data for download and sharing
All data can be downloaded from the press kit as an excel file with the complete catalogue of evolving voting intention polls from all Member States. The file will give full information on the national parties, their names, political affiliation on European level, their results at the last European and national elections as well as their standing in all voting intention polls collected. The polls themselves are identified including all defining criteria such as institute, sample size and fieldwork dates.

The UK data can be found on p. 137-138 of the full report.

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Further information

Projections on the Elections press tool kit
European elections results website