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After a series of unprecedented interest rate hikes on both sides of the Atlantic, inflation in the euro area and the United States is cooling down from a 40-year high. However, uncertainty about the inflation and growth outlook remains high, as the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve are considering their next moves. Five papers were prepared by the ECON Committee’s Monetary Expert Panel, making a comparative assessment of inflation dynamics and monetary policy stances in the two monetary ...

Under the stress test of the inflation process, the two central banks' stances across the Atlantic share similarities but show also significant differences. Similarities and differences are reflected also in inflation dynamics in the US and the euro area. Differences are mainly due to the mix of factors that originated the take-off of inflation, some structural features of the economies, the institutional contexts and associated fiscal stances. This document was provided by the Economic Governance ...

As monetary policy continues to tighten and excess liquidity is gradually drained from the banking system, the European Central Bank (ECB) is confronted with a decision on which liquidity provision framework the Eurosystem should adopt going forward. Three papers were prepared by the ECON Committee’s Monetary Expert Panel, discussing the relative advantages and disadvantages of the ample reserves/floor system versus the scarce reserves/corridor system. This document was provided by the Economic ...

This note has been prepared for a regular public hearing with the Chair of the Supervisory Board of the European Central Bank (ECB), Andrea Enria, which will take place on 28 June 2023. The briefing addresses: (i) the ECB’s recent Financial Stability Review, (ii) the results of four asset quality reviews, (iii) the ECB’s progress report on the disclosure of climate and environmental risks, (iv) three critical reviews of the SSM’s work (vii) the ECB’s views on the proposed changes to the Crisis ...

Now is the time for quantitative tightening

Poglobljena analiza 16-03-2023

Even if QT is as inefficient as QE at affecting inflation, now is the time to cut the size of central banks’ balance sheets. The stabilising effects of large balance sheets are eroded as the financial markets adapt to excess reserves. If QT proves to be financially destabilising, it can be temporarily interrupted, possibly even reversed. This document was provided by the Economic Governance and EMU Scrutiny Unit at the request of the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs (ECON) ahead of the ...

The European Parliament will discuss the European Central Bank (ECB) annual report for 2021 during its February plenary session, in the presence of the Banks' President, Christine Lagarde. The ECB's annual report describes the tasks and activities of the European System of Central Banks (ESCB), reports on its monetary policy and thus provides an important pillar of the ECB's accountability to the European Parliament. Following the debate, Parliament will vote a resolution on the basis of an own-initiative ...

Inflation as a global challenge

Študija 23-11-2022

The inflation challenge today is a global phenomenon and because of the integrated global economy, domestic monetary policy can have spillover effects to other economies. In response to widespread inflation, we are now seeing a synchronised monetary tightening by many central banks. The simultaneous and mutually-compounding tightening of financing conditions might exceed what is necessary to contain inflation and exacerbate the global recession risk. While monetary policy coordination between central ...

A roadmap to completing the Banking Union

Poglobljena analiza 19-06-2020

Completing the Banking Union has been a long term endeavour, on the back of the less successful negotiations on its third leg - the common deposit guarantee scheme. The current crisis caused by the outbreak of COVID-19 will evidently put the current setup of Banking Union to test, but may also create a new impetus and political will for it’s completion. This briefing, based on two earlier EGOV briefings (here and here), (1) sets out the main milestones of such process so far, (2) outlines where work ...

To keep the euro-area economy afloat, the European Central Bank (ECB) has announced a large number of measures since the beginning of the COVID-19 crisis. This response has triggered fears of a future increase in inflation. We discuss the risks that the ECB is unable to fulfil its price-stability mandate, and also whether these new measures respect legal limits set by the EU Treaties. We conclude that the measures introduced by the ECB during the crisis and the resulting increase in the size of its ...

EU rules on fit and proper are a patchwork of high-level principles and national law. Deep cross-country differences affect both the assessment process and the criteria used. New Level 1 measures are required to impose common requirements on knowledge, experience, good repute, independence and conflicts of interest, and to unify procedural aspects across Member States. Meanwhile, the ECB should assign a public score to individual board members and disclose the motivations behind its fit and proper ...